if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
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The Motley Fool
6-Man Fan
Joined: Wed Aug 31, 2005 1:01 am Posts: 380 Location: Where the games are
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
Blue Bird wrote: Granger doesn't need to push Notre Dame down in the rankings. All they need to do is step on the field and play. They will get there on their own! :mrgreen:
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| Sun Oct 31, 2010 7:43 pm |
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rainjacktx
6-Man Fan
Joined: Fri Sep 27, 2002 1:01 am Posts: 1559 Location: Canyon
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
granger wrote: I have actually modified this to cap the score differential at 24 instead of 45 now and it looks a bit different... I have another version that is based on a system I developed 3 years ago for college tennis. It doesn't take score into effect at all, just winners and losers... I will probably average these for an overall. It looks pretty good.... the next step is the part that will predict lines... I want to subscribe when you get the next step implemented. It will be a gold mine if you can get it to be over 60% accurate.
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| Wed Nov 03, 2010 8:58 am |
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granger
Guru
Joined: Tue Dec 11, 2001 2:01 am Posts: 2635 Location: Austin, TX
Blog: View Blog (3)
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
had a malfunction and posted the wrong file... this is the combined file... I will post the lines it comes up with for this week's games in a minute... | 1 | Auburn | 9 | 0 | 1097.181 | | 2 | Texas Christian | 9 | 0 | 1089.985 | | 3 | Oregon | 8 | 0 | 1082.647 | | 4 | Utah | 8 | 0 | 1080.479 | | 5 | Boise State | 7 | 0 | 1076.229 | | 6 | Louisiana State | 7 | 1 | 1059.097 | | 7 | Stanford | 7 | 1 | 1050.59 | | 8 | Mississippi State | 7 | 2 | 1044.411 | | 9 | Virginia Tech | 6 | 2 | 1030.339 | | 10 | Wisconsin | 7 | 1 | 1028.763 | | 11 | Ohio State | 8 | 1 | 1027.549 | | 12 | Michigan State | 8 | 1 | 1022.561 | | 13 | Oklahoma | 7 | 1 | 1022.288 | | 14 | Iowa | 6 | 2 | 1020.528 | | 15 | Missouri | 7 | 1 | 1019.549 | | 16 | Nebraska | 7 | 1 | 1018.329 | | 17 | Oklahoma State | 7 | 1 | 1017.51 | | 18 | Arizona | 7 | 1 | 1008.212 | | 19 | Arkansas | 6 | 2 | 1003.828 | | 20 | Alabama | 7 | 1 | 999.709 | | 21 | Northern Illinois | 7 | 2 | 996.7018 | | 22 | Illinois | 5 | 3 | 995.5151 | | 23 | No Carolina State | 6 | 2 | 994.8162 | | 24 | U-C-F | 6 | 2 | 994.8096 | | 25 | Iowa State | 5 | 4 | 994.567 | | 26 | Florida State | 6 | 2 | 993.6492 | | 27 | Penn State | 5 | 3 | 992.9599 | | 28 | Baylor | 7 | 2 | 992.8542 | | 29 | Kansas State | 5 | 3 | 992.0865 | | 30 | South Carolina | 6 | 2 | 991.9808 | | 31 | Temple | 7 | 2 | 991.6628 | | 32 | Florida | 5 | 3 | 988.6806 | | 33 | Texas A+M | 5 | 3 | 987.9312 | | 34 | Nevada-Reno | 7 | 1 | 987.479 | | 35 | Michigan | 5 | 3 | 983.9167 | | 36 | Southern Cal | 5 | 3 | 982.5471 | | 37 | East Carolina | 5 | 3 | 982.2537 | | 38 | Hawaii | 7 | 2 | 981.5385 | | 39 | Northwestern | 6 | 2 | 978.9753 | | 40 | Oregon State | 4 | 3 | 976.7889 | | 41 | Texas Tech | 4 | 4 | 976.2935 | | 42 | Miami-Florida | 5 | 3 | 975.1496 | | 43 | North Carolina | 5 | 3 | 973.4105 | | 44 | Air Force | 5 | 4 | 971.6647 | | 45 | Pittsburgh | 5 | 3 | 970.6013 | | 46 | Virginia | 4 | 4 | 970.5091 | | 47 | Texas | 4 | 4 | 970.485 | | 48 | San Diego State | 6 | 2 | 970.0815 | | 49 | Syracuse | 6 | 2 | 969.2183 | | 50 | California | 4 | 4 | 967.9538 | | 51 | Tulsa | 5 | 3 | 967.8757 | | 52 | Navy | 5 | 3 | 967.3565 | | 53 | Arizona State | 4 | 4 | 966.7007 | | 54 | Georgia Tech | 5 | 3 | 966.4598 | | 55 | Toledo | 6 | 3 | 966.3024 | | 56 | Notre Dame | 4 | 5 | 966.2651 | | 57 | Purdue | 4 | 4 | 965.8723 | | 58 | Clemson | 4 | 4 | 965.0381 | | 59 | Washington | 3 | 5 | 964.8094 | | 60 | West Virginia | 5 | 3 | 964.7283 | | 61 | U.C.L.A. | 3 | 5 | 964.5388 | | 62 | Maryland | 6 | 2 | 964.463 | | 63 | Indiana | 4 | 4 | 963.2819 | | 64 | Colorado | 3 | 5 | 962.5027 | | 65 | South Florida | 4 | 3 | 962.1252 | | 66 | Army | 5 | 3 | 961.9344 | | 67 | Georgia | 4 | 5 | 960.7634 | | 68 | Houston | 5 | 3 | 960.6392 | | 69 | S-M-U | 5 | 4 | 959.7993 | | 70 | Fresno State | 5 | 2 | 959.1455 | | 71 | Boston College | 3 | 5 | 957.2551 | | 72 | Rutgers | 4 | 3 | 957.1769 | | 73 | Ohio | 6 | 3 | 956.7019 | | 74 | Brigham Young | 3 | 5 | 956.2009 | | 75 | Kentucky | 4 | 5 | 955.5462 | | 76 | Louisville | 4 | 4 | 954.9624 | | 77 | Mississippi | 3 | 5 | 954.6428 | | 78 | Cincinnati | 3 | 5 | 954.4304 | | 79 | Connecticut | 4 | 4 | 953.3203 | | 80 | Southern Miss | 5 | 3 | 952.9186 | | 81 | Miami-Ohio | 5 | 4 | 951.2682 | | 82 | Kent State | 4 | 4 | 949.9729 | | 83 | Tulane | 3 | 5 | 945.7803 | | 84 | Louisiana Tech | 3 | 5 | 943.7459 | | 85 | Tennessee | 2 | 6 | 943.2515 | | 86 | Vanderbilt | 2 | 6 | 942.6044 | | 87 | Kansas | 2 | 6 | 941.9702 | | 88 | U-A-B | 3 | 5 | 941.8748 | | 89 | Idaho | 4 | 4 | 941.3146 | | 90 | Colorado State | 3 | 6 | 940.8277 | | 91 | Duke | 2 | 6 | 939.5271 | | 92 | Utah State | 2 | 6 | 938.447 | | 93 | Wyoming | 2 | 7 | 938.1791 | | 94 | Wake Forest | 2 | 6 | 934.6809 | | 95 | Rice | 2 | 6 | 933.6199 | | 96 | Western Michigan | 3 | 5 | 932.9465 | | 97 | UTEP | 5 | 4 | 931.9691 | | 98 | Marshall | 2 | 6 | 931.9001 | | 99 | Troy | 4 | 3 | 929.7495 | | 100 | UL-Monroe | 4 | 4 | 929.4444 | | 101 | Arkansas State | 3 | 5 | 928.8671 | | 102 | Minnesota | 1 | 8 | 924.2294 | | 103 | Buffalo | 2 | 6 | 922.3952 | | 104 | Bowling Green | 2 | 7 | 921.6725 | | 105 | Florida Intl | 2 | 5 | 921.1799 | | 106 | Florida Atlantic | 2 | 5 | 919.9973 | | 107 | Middle Tennessee | 3 | 4 | 918.6313 | | 108 | North Texas | 2 | 6 | 918.1724 | | 109 | Washington State | 1 | 8 | 916.8503 | | 110 | Memphis | 1 | 7 | 915.0425 | | 111 | New Mexico State | 2 | 6 | 914.34 | | 112 | UL-Lafayette | 2 | 6 | 912.2205 | | 113 | Central Michigan | 2 | 7 | 910.5086 | | 114 | Ball State | 2 | 7 | 909.8975 | | 115 | Western Kentucky | 1 | 7 | 907.7368 | | 116 | Eastern Michigan | 1 | 8 | 907.5679 | | 117 | San Jose State | 1 | 8 | 906.3975 | | 118 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 1 | 7 | 903.9472 | | 119 | Akron | 0 | 9 | 883.4522 | | 120 | New Mexico | 0 | 8 | 881.3037 |
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| Wed Nov 03, 2010 9:10 am |
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granger
Guru
Joined: Tue Dec 11, 2001 2:01 am Posts: 2635 Location: Austin, TX
Blog: View Blog (3)
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
Here are the lines... I have edited to include my lines and the vegas lines that were in a file (not sure how accurate these are, but I imagine they are close) [ | VISITOR | HOME | MINE | VEGAS | | Middle Tennessee | Arkansas State | 5 | -1.5 | | Rutgers | South Florida | 4 | 10 | | Buffalo | Ohio | 12 | 15.5 | | Georgia Tech | Virginia Tech | 19 | 13 | | Western Michigan | Central Michigan | -3 | 3.5 | | U-C-F | Houston | -7 | -2.5 | | Air Force | Army | 0 | -6.5 | | Maryland | Miami-Florida | 5 | 8.5 | | No Carolina State | Clemson | -5 | 3 | | Virginia | Duke | -6 | -1 | | Louisville | Syracuse | 6 | 5.5 | | Iowa | Indiana | -13 | -17 | | Illinois | Michigan | -1 | 3 | | Boston College | Wake Forest | -3 | -3 | | Northwestern | Penn State | 6 | 5.5 | | Wisconsin | Purdue | -14 | -20 | | Minnesota | Michigan State | 28 | 24 | | North Carolina | Florida State | 8 | 10 | | Baylor | Oklahoma State | 9 | 7.5 | | Arkansas | South Carolina | -1 | 3.5 | | Florida | Vanderbilt | -10 | -14 | | Colorado | Kansas | -3 | -8.5 | | Akron | Ball State | 9 | 13.5 | | Nevada-Las Vegas | Brigham Young | 16 | 18 | | Rice | Tulsa | 11 | 18 | | Hawaii | Boise State | 27 | 21.5 | | Temple | Kent State | -8 | -3.5 | | New Mexico State | Utah State | 9 | 18 | | Navy | East Carolina | 6 | 3 | | Washington | Oregon | 33 | 35 | | Southern Miss | Tulane | 1 | -10 | | Nebraska | Iowa State | -4 | -18.5 | | Oklahoma | Texas A+M | -7 | -3 | | Texas | Kansas State | 8 | -4 | | Arizona | Stanford | 14 | 9.5 | | Texas Christian | Utah | 0 | -5 | | Fresno State | Louisiana Tech | -2 | -1 | | Marshall | U-A-B | 5 | 10 | | Nevada-Reno | Idaho | -10 | -12 | | California | Washington State | -11 | -14.5 | | Wyoming | New Mexico | -12 | -10 | | Oregon State | U.C.L.A. | -1 | -5 | | Missouri | Texas Tech | -9 | -4 | | Alabama | Louisiana State | 18 | -6.5 | | Tennessee | Memphis | -5 | -19.5 | | S-M-U | UTEP | -5 | -7 | | Colorado State | San Diego State | 10 | 17.5 | | Arizona State | Southern Cal | 7 | 5.5 | | UL-Lafayette | Mississippi | 14 | 27 | | Florida Atlantic | Western Kentucky | -1 | -2.5 | | UL-Monroe | Florida Intl | 0 | 9.5 | | Troy | North Texas | -1 | -12.5 | | Idaho State | Georgia | 10 | | | Chattanooga | Auburn | 40 | | | Charleston Southern | Kentucky | 9 |
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| Wed Nov 03, 2010 9:22 am |
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nm6man
6-Man Fan
Joined: Sun Dec 16, 2001 2:01 am Posts: 188 Location: King Cove, AK
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
now all you have to do is bet all yours that are better than the vegas line and take the money and run. :mrgreen:
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| Wed Nov 03, 2010 10:00 am |
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granger
Guru
Joined: Tue Dec 11, 2001 2:01 am Posts: 2635 Location: Austin, TX
Blog: View Blog (3)
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
Or take the money line...
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| Wed Nov 03, 2010 10:11 am |
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51eleven
6-Man Fan
Joined: Wed Nov 26, 2008 9:28 pm Posts: 1083
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
During my luchtime siesta I had a dream......... Art Briles was on the phone with Dave Campbell yelling "you've gotta do something about your six-man guy. Baylor hasn't been ranked in the top 25 since 93, we finally get back and can't even enjoy a couple of weeks there without this guy bustin our bubble with his toy. Tell him to stay out of Waco, I've already got a contract out on him." Then Mack Brown came on the speaker phone chiming in "yeah, he's from Austin and couldn't even slip us in to # 25, he ranked the Aggies over the Longhorns!!!"
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| Wed Nov 03, 2010 12:48 pm |
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CowboyP
6-Man Fan
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2010 2:59 pm Posts: 4601 Location: Aquilla Sixmaniac
Blog: View Blog (6)
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
If Granger's numbers on colleges prove to be as accurate as his numbers on six-man, he may be sitting on a gold mine.
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| Fri Nov 05, 2010 8:16 am |
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51eleven
6-Man Fan
Joined: Wed Nov 26, 2008 9:28 pm Posts: 1083
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
I don't know Coach Briles but from interviews I've heard & read I don't really think he would ever yell at so revered a figure in Texas football. Anyway, looks like Granger had Baylor and Texas headin in the right directions. Still hope the Bears can pull out 1 more win in the regular season. Horns too, or two.
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| Mon Nov 08, 2010 4:00 pm |
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Usfbulls10
11-Man Fan
Joined: Mon Jul 05, 2010 6:19 pm Posts: 11
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
its clear by this that the rating/ranking system this site uses is terrible.
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| Mon Nov 08, 2010 4:03 pm |
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51eleven
6-Man Fan
Joined: Wed Nov 26, 2008 9:28 pm Posts: 1083
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
I take it you don't like your ranking. Prove it wrong by going and winning state.
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| Mon Nov 08, 2010 4:35 pm |
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granger
Guru
Joined: Tue Dec 11, 2001 2:01 am Posts: 2635 Location: Austin, TX
Blog: View Blog (3)
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
Forgot to update... | 1 | Auburn | 10 | 0 | 1098.008 | | 2 | Texas Christian | 10 | 0 | 1095.832 | | 3 | Oregon | 9 | 0 | 1090.469 | | 4 | Boise State | 8 | 0 | 1084.007 | | 5 | Utah | 8 | 1 | 1067.591 | | 6 | Louisiana State | 8 | 1 | 1067.52 | | 7 | Stanford | 8 | 1 | 1059.68 | | 8 | Mississippi State | 7 | 2 | 1044.896 | | 9 | Virginia Tech | 7 | 2 | 1034.027 | | 10 | Wisconsin | 8 | 1 | 1018.987 | | 11 | Ohio State | 8 | 1 | 1018.537 | | 12 | Michigan State | 9 | 1 | 1011.979 | | 13 | Iowa | 7 | 2 | 1008.367 | | 14 | Oklahoma State | 8 | 1 | 1003.4 | | 15 | Nebraska | 8 | 1 | 1001.612 | | 16 | Arkansas | 7 | 2 | 994.4651 | | 17 | Arizona | 7 | 2 | 990.8911 | | 18 | Texas A+M | 6 | 3 | 986.8248 | | 19 | Alabama | 7 | 2 | 986.6484 | | 20 | Oklahoma | 7 | 2 | 986.3913 | | 21 | Missouri | 7 | 2 | 984.6238 | | 22 | Florida | 6 | 3 | 981.0005 | | 23 | Kansas State | 6 | 3 | 980.7742 | | 24 | Northern Illinois | 7 | 2 | 979.6262 | | 25 | Baylor | 7 | 3 | 979.3918 |
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| Thu Nov 11, 2010 11:06 am |
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granger
Guru
Joined: Tue Dec 11, 2001 2:01 am Posts: 2635 Location: Austin, TX
Blog: View Blog (3)
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 Re: if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings
and the lines | Visitor | Home | My line | Vegas | | Toledo | Northern Illinois | 11.5 | 11.5 | | Miami-Ohio | Bowling Green | -6.5 | -3.5 | | Pittsburgh | Connecticut | -0.5 | -6.5 | | East Carolina | U-A-B | -5.5 | 2.5 | | Ball State | Buffalo | 5.5 | 3 | | Boise State | Idaho | -39.5 | -35 | | Maryland | Virginia | -2.5 | -1.5 | | Cincinnati | West Virginia | 4.5 | 6.5 | | Southern Miss | U-C-F | 11.5 | 9.5 | | Syracuse | Rutgers | 0.5 | -3 | | Boston College | Duke | -0.5 | -3 | | Miami-Florida | Georgia Tech | 0.5 | -3 | | Iowa | Northwestern | -10.5 | -12 | | Michigan | Purdue | -4.5 | -13 | | Indiana | Wisconsin | 22.5 | 21.5 | | Minnesota | Illinois | 21.5 | 20.5 | | Wake Forest | No Carolina State | 13.5 | 19 | | Clemson | Florida State | 3.5 | 7.5 | | Texas Tech | Oklahoma | 6.5 | 16.5 | | Texas A+M | Baylor | 1.5 | -3 | | Kansas | Nebraska | 18.5 | 34.5 | | South Carolina | Florida | 4.5 | 7 | | Vanderbilt | Kentucky | 9.5 | 15 | | Mississippi State | Alabama | -12.5 | 14 | | Iowa State | Colorado | -6.5 | -2.5 | | Eastern Michigan | Western Michigan | 4.5 | 16 | | Army | Kent State | -1.5 | -3 | | Brigham Young | Colorado State | -3.5 | -6 | | UTEP | Arkansas | 20.5 | 30.5 | | Utah | Notre Dame | -27.5 | -5.5 | | Memphis | Marshall | 11.5 | 16.5 | | Georgia | Auburn | 42.5 | 8.5 | | Oregon | California | -33.5 | -20 | | Stanford | Arizona State | -26.5 | -6.5 | | Central Michigan | Navy | 17.5 | 16.5 | | Rice | Tulane | 6.5 | 6 | | Oklahoma State | Texas | -8.5 | -6.5 | | Kansas State | Missouri | 4.5 | 12.5 | | Penn State | Ohio State | 14.5 | 17 | | Virginia Tech | North Carolina | -15.5 | -5.5 | | South Florida | Louisville | 1.5 | 2 | | San Diego State | Texas Christian | 38.5 | 26.5 | | New Mexico | Air Force | 22.5 | 31.5 | | Louisiana Tech | New Mexico State | -4.5 | -13.5 | | Washington State | Oregon State | 18.5 | 22.5 | | Mississippi | Tennessee | -1.5 | 0 | | Southern Cal | Arizona | 8.5 | 5.5 | | Utah State | San Jose State | -5.5 | -3.5 | | Tulsa | Houston | -0.5 | 2 | | Nevada-Reno | Fresno State | -3.5 | -9.5 | | Wyoming | Nevada-Las Vegas | -0.5 | -7 | | Western Kentucky | Arkansas State | 11.5 | 11 | | Florida Intl | Troy | 4.5 | 8.5 | | North Texas | Middle Tennessee | 3.5 | 9 | | UL-Lafayette | Florida Atlantic | 8.5 | 6 | | UL-Monroe | Louisiana State | 45.5 | 31 |
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| Thu Nov 11, 2010 11:17 am |
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